Ketchup Shortage: Is it Due To Climate Change?

James Anderson
By James Anderson 8 Min Read
8 Min Read

Imagine this: you’re at your favorite restaurant, eagerly waiting for your fries or burger, and when you ask for ketchup, the server tells you they’re out of it. Sounds almost impossible, right? But this has been the reality over the past year in the USA. There’s been a noticeable shortage of those little ketchup packets we often take for granted. It’s gotten to the point where people are even rethinking their dining plans.

This ketchup crisis first caught our attention back in July of last year. It raised an interesting question: could there come a time when restaurants would prefer handing out individual ketchup pouches instead of using communal bottles? The reason behind this shift is pretty understandable – in a world where we’re more conscious about health and hygiene, the idea of using a ketchup bottle that countless others have touched seems less appealing.

So, what’s the ketchup industry doing about this? Well, it’s not as simple as just producing more packets. It takes about a year to buy, set up, and start a new production line for ketchup packets. That means it’s not just a quick fix but a significant change in how ketchup is packaged and distributed.

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Who Faces Ketchup Shortage in 2022? 

2022 has been a challenging year for American restaurants. After dealing with closures, health concerns, and inconsistent re-openings due to the pandemic, a new hurdle has emerged: a severe ketchup shortage. This shortage is hitting restaurants hard, as they struggle to keep this essential condiment on their tables. The impact of COVID-19 has disrupted the global supply chain for ketchup, leading to this unexpected crisis.

Creative Solutions and the Hunt for Ketchup

Restaurant managers are getting creative, resorting to generic brands and manually filling cups with ketchup. Some are even making trips to stores like Costco to find alternatives. Chris Fuselier, who owns Blake Street Tavern in Denver, shares his experience of the intense search to keep ketchup in stock for the season.

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A Shift in Demand: The Rise of Ketchup Packets

The pandemic has forced many dine-in restaurants to become takeout-centric, which has dramatically increased the demand for individual ketchup packets. These packets have become a sort of “currency” for both big chains and smaller, family-owned eateries. According to Plate IQ, a company that tracks business-to-restaurant supplies, packet prices have jumped 13% since January 2020. Their sales have also seen a significant boost, overshadowing the demand for traditional tabletop bottles.

Fast Food Chains Feeling the Pinch

Even fast-food giants aren’t immune to this ketchup pinch. Long John Silver’s LLC, which operates about 700 units, had to source ketchup from a different supplier due to the soaring demand. This shift towards individual packets has incurred additional costs. For the Louisville, Kentucky-based company, these changes have meant an extra half million dollars in expenses, as single-serve packets are more costly than bulk ketchup.

Where is Ketchup Shortages Worldwide? 

Ketchup is more than just a condiment; it’s a fundamental part of the American diet. In U.S. restaurants alone, about 300,000 tons of ketchup were sold to food services last year, as reported by Euromonitor, a market research company. Not only is ketchup a favorite in restaurants, but its use at home also skyrocketed during the pandemic. In 2020, U.S. ketchup sales soared by over $1 billion, a 15% increase from the previous year.

Heinz: The Dominant Force in the Ketchup Market

When it comes to ketchup, Kraft Heinz Co. reigns supreme. This company, with its iconic Heinz brand, controls about 70% of the U.S. retail market for condiments. Despite its longstanding presence in the market, spanning over 150 years, Heinz was caught off-guard by the sudden surge in demand during the pandemic.

The Challenge of Meeting Demand for Ketchup Packets

One of the biggest challenges for Kraft Heinz was keeping up with the demand for ketchup packets, also known as sachets in the market. These packets became increasingly popular, especially with the rise of takeout and delivery services during the pandemic.

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Heinz’s Agricultural Footprint

Heinz’s involvement in agriculture is substantial. They’re not just about tomatoes; they also have a significant stake in other crops like beans and cucumbers. For instance, they purchase 30% of the world’s navy beans. When it comes to tomatoes, their scale is enormous — about 9 billion tomatoes are grown annually.

Innovation in Tomato Seed Business

Heinz’s expertise in tomatoes extends beyond just consumption. They have ventured into the business of creating and selling tomato seeds. Currently, they supply around 40% of the world’s tomato seeds. These seeds are crucial for producing a range of products, from pasta sauces to ketchup and beyond, showcasing Heinz’s deep knowledge and influence in the tomato industry.


As we wrap up our exploration of the recent ketchup shortage, it’s clear that this common condiment’s scarcity has had a more significant impact than one might initially think. This shortage has rippled through the restaurant industry in the USA and beyond, affecting everything from local diners to global fast-food chains.

The pandemic played a crucial role in this situation, shifting the demand from communal bottles to individual packets, thereby straining the supply chain. This transition, driven by heightened hygiene awareness, has led to an increase in costs and a scramble for alternatives among restaurant owners.

Kraft Heinz, a giant in the condiment world, found itself at the center of this shortage. Despite being a longstanding leader in the market, the company faced challenges in meeting the unexpected surge in demand for ketchup packets. This situation highlighted the complexities of supply chain management in times of sudden demand shifts.

Beyond the immediate impact on restaurants and consumers, the ketchup shortage also sheds light on the intricate relationship between agriculture, manufacturing, and global supply chains. Heinz’s involvement in tomato agriculture and seed production illustrates the extensive network and expertise required to bring a simple packet of ketchup to our tables.

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In conclusion, the ketchup shortage of 2022 serves as a unique case study in how global events can impact even the most mundane aspects of our daily lives. It’s a reminder of the interconnectedness of our world and the importance of adaptability and resilience in the face of unexpected challenges.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Is there really a ketchup shortage?

Yes, there is currently a shortage of ketchup in some areas. Restaurants and fast food chains in particular have reported difficulty in obtaining enough ketchup packets to meet demand.

2. Why is there a ketchup shortage?

There are a few reasons for the ketchup shortage, including supply chain issues and increased demand during the pandemic. However, a reported contributing factor is the impact of climate change on tomato harvests.

3. How does climate change affect tomato harvests?

Climate change can cause unpredictable weather patterns, which can lead to extreme heat, heavy rainfall, or other conditions that can damage tomato crops. It can also lead to pests and diseases that can harm tomato plants.

4. Will the ketchup shortage continue?

It's difficult to say for certain, as the factors leading to the shortage are complex. However, some experts predict that the ketchup shortage may continue for a while, especially if weather patterns continue to be unpredictable due to climate change.

5. What are some alternatives to ketchup?

There are plenty of other condiments that can be used in place of ketchup, such as mustard, barbecue sauce, hot sauce, or salsa. Some people even prefer to make their own ketchup-like sauces using tomato paste, vinegar, and other ingredients.

6. What can be done to address the ketchup shortage?

Businesses can work to diversify their condiment offerings, promote other types of sauces, or use larger containers of ketchup instead of single packets. In the long term, addressing the root causes of the ketchup shortage, such as supply chain issues and climate change, will be important for ensuring a stable and sustainable food supply.

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Introducing James Anderson, a tech enthusiast and seasoned writer who has made a name for himself in the tech blogging world. With a deep understanding of tech, Android, Windows, internet, social media, gadgets, and reviews, James has honed his skills in crafting informative and engaging articles. His passion for technology shines through his work, as he expertly dissects complex topics and offers valuable insights to his readers. With a writing style that is both approachable and knowledgeable, James has garnered a loyal following who rely on his expertise to stay up-to-date with the latest tech trends and make informed decisions.
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